MATHEMATICAL MODEL TO ASSESS THE INFLUENCE OF ELECTROMAGNETIC FIELDS ON THE EMERGENCE AND DEVELOPMENT OF OCCUPATIONAL DISEASES IN THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR
M. A. Myasoedova, N. A. Korenevskiy, L. V. Starodubtseva,
M. V. Pisarev
The aim of the study is to develop mathematical models for assessing the impact of electromagnetic fields of different modality and intensity on the human body providing a solution to the problems of assessing the health of people employed in the electric power industry with acceptable accuracy for medical practice.The technology of soft computing and, in particular, is chosen as the basic mathematical apparatus, the methodology of synthesis of hybrid fuzzy decision models developed in the South-West state University has proven itself in the synthesis of mathematical models of forecasting, early and differential diagnosis of diseases with a similar structure of the studied classes of States. As an example, a mathematical model for predicting the appearance and development of immune system diseases in employees of electric power enterprises of the Kursk region is described. Fuzzy mathematical models use membership functions with basic variables that take into account the intensity of the electromagnetic field of industrial frequency, work experience in the power industry and individual risk factors that provoke the appearance and development of diseases of the nervous system. In the course of mathematical modeling and expert evaluation it was shown that the use of the chosen methodology of synthesis of hybrid fuzzy mathematical models allowed to obtain a mathematical model of forecasting and development of diseases of the immune system in employees of the electric power complex with confidence exceeding 0.9.
Keywords: :mathematical model, fuzzy logic, occupational diseases, immune system, power engineering, forecasting