ACMEOLOGICAL ANALYSIS OF EXPERT PROCEDURE ERRORS USING THE METHOD OF ASSESSING THE DEGREE OF CONFIDENCE IN AN EXPERT


UDC 004:007.51
DOI:10.26102/2310-6018/2020.30.3.002

V.A. Gostyunina

Expert assessment in modern conditions plays an increasingly important role. There are problems when accurate calculations are not applicable to assess, select and justify decisions. In such cases, expert methods are used. The proposed method for assessing the degree of trust in an expert takes into account the reputation of the expert as a long-term indicator of the quality of his examination, and the value of feedback as a short-term indicator of the state of the expert. Together, these 2 indicators make it possible to calculate the expert confidence coefficient. Using the described method, an expert procedure is carried out. However, errors in conducting expert procedures cast doubt on the accuracy of the results of the examination. Therefore, the analysis of such errors is a necessary step to test the feasibility of practical application of the proposed new solutions and methods in the framework of expert procedures. The article carried out an acmeological analysis of the errors of the expert procedure using the method of assessing the degree of confidence in the expert.Methodological, technological, technical, psychological, organizational, regulatory and other types of errors in the performance of expert assessments are considered. The article provides examples of identifying various kinds of errors in the described expert procedure. A reasonable explanation is given of the options for eliminating most common errors.

Keywords:acmeological analysis, expert procedure, expert assessment, trust in an expert, reputation, reputation system.

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