ASSESSING MODEL OF THE TARGET LIFE INDICATORS ACHIEVEMENT IN THE RESOURCE REGION DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY

UDC 519.24
DOI:10.26102/2310-6018/2019.27.4.030

S.M. Lavlinskii, L.L. Yakovleva


The relevance of the study is determined by the lack of well-reasoned assessments of the level of the strategic goals achievement that were stated in the strategic development programs of Russia resource regions, taking into account the analysis of planned activities resourcing.In this regard, this article is aimed at substantiating a new method for assessing the feasibility of living standards target indicators in the development strategy of a subsidized resource region. For this, it is proposed to use a combination of the Stackelberg model and the regional forecasting model. The forecasting model is a model of socio-economic development of the resource region, adapted to the characteristics of Siberian territories. The planning model is a Stackelberg model that formally represents a two-level mathematical programming problem. This toolkit allows not only to compare various development strategies in terms of the dynamics of the living standards of the population, but also to formulate a program for developing the mineral resource base at the expense of the federal budget and ensuring the highest possible level of the region’s own income. The main principles of the methodology are illustrated by the example of the Transbaikal Territory, for which an assessment was made of the living standards target values attainability that were recorded in the Transbaikal Territory Development Strategy until 2030. The materials of the article are of practical value for management decision-makers for constitution and evaluation of regional development strategies.

Keywords: indicative planning, regional forecasting, Stackelberg model, bilevel mathematical programming problem, region development strategy, living standards.

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