DEVELOPMENT OF ALGORITHM FOR ASSESSMENT OF RESULTS OF ACTIVITY OF POLICE DEPARTMENS WITH THE USE OF BINARY CHOICE MODELS
I. V. Goroshko, S. H. Gonov
This paper proposes a technological algorithm for evaluating the results on the basis of discrete choice models, which allows to evaluate the activities of the police departments. The mechanism of identification and evaluation of the parameters of logit and probit models, as well as methods for assessing the quality and significance are considered. The possibility of application of these models for the analysis of results of activity of the police departments is proved. In the article the technological algorithm of the analysis on the basis of models of discrete choice allowing to estimate operational activity of the police departments in the sphere of ensuring a law and order in public places is offered. The subject of the research is the methods and models of analysis of the results of the activities of the police departments of the Ministry of internal Affairs of Russia. The methods of multidimensional statistical analysis of data, as well as the mathematical apparatus of discrete choice models were used in the study. The mechanism of identification and estimation of parameters of logit and probit models on the basis of the maximum likelihood estimation is considered. Proposed methods for evaluating the significance of the parameters of the regression equations, and methods of evaluating model quality. The analysis of statistical dataset using logit – and probit- models has led to the conclusion about the greatest impact of performance indicators with higher coefficients in the system of performance evaluation. Modeling showed the possibility of using these models in the search for quantitative laws of the studied process. For the first time, using mathematical models of discrete choice, an approach to the analysis and evaluation of crime in public places was developed, on the basis of which new solutions were proposed to evaluate the results of operational and service activities of the police departments, which allows improving the quality of information and analytical work.
Keywords: algorithm, model of binary choice, evaluation, maximum likelihood estimation, logit-model.
ORGANIZATION OF THE CONTROL SYSTEM IN LAWYER SYSTEM
UDC 007 (075)
Development of science means not only the complex analysis of the theory, practice, historical experience, but also search of the new directions in these researches
In article from positions of cybernetics and the theory of systems the analysis of formation and realization of control systems in lawyer systems is carried out to the modern period of time. During the analysis the structural problem which is a consequence of the “vertical” organization of bodies of lawyer self-government, resulting in some cases in a certain intensity in the system is revealed. The conclusion is drawn that the special role at the organization of management in lawyer system in general is played by coherence of actions of all elements of legal profession, and also application of the developed organizational structure, traditions, culture and the principles.
Keywords: legal profession, lawyer system, control system, the system analysis, lawyer cybernetics, the qualified legal services.
REFLECTIONS ON THE PROSPECTS FOR CHANGE FUNTSIONALNOST OPPORTUNITY AND INTERACTION LAWYER AND INVESTIGATOR – “RESEARCHERS” IN CASE OF ADMINISTRATION INSTITUTE ESTABLISHMENT OF OBJECTIVE TRUTH IN THE CASE
UDC 347. 965
In article analyzes the possibilities of changes to the prosecution and defense in criminal proceedings in the case of the introduction of the institute criminal proceedings to establish the objective truth of the case.
Keywords: advocacy, the investigator, the prosecution, the court, the objective truth.
ANALYSIS OF FEATURES OF THE ORGANIZATION OF SYSTEMS OF THE SPECIAL PURPOSE OF CRIMINAL AND EXECUTIVE SYSTEM
UDC 519. 72
O. V. Isaev
For the purpose of realization of actions for optimization of creation of systems of a special purpose of objects criminally – executive system consideration of probabilistic characteristics of functioning of their elements in the conditions of variety of tactics of the organization of active counteraction is necessary from systems of negative impact.
Keywords: probability, efficiency, information structure, information process.
THE TASK OF STIMULATING OPTIMAL WORK PLANS OF CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTIONS
L.V. Rossikhina, S.M. Agafonov, S.A. Barkalov
We consider the problem of optimal work plans stimulation of the penitentiary system correctional institutions (CIS), which provides the required value of integrated assessment activities at a given reliability (risk of not doing). As the decision the mechanism of counter plans stimulation for discrete models of active systems is implemented.
Keywords: integrated evaluation, reliability
OPTIMIZATION OF LEGAL REGULATION OF SEAPORTS MANAGEMENT
S. A. Pravkin
This article examines the regulation of sea ports in Russia, analyzes the content of the legislation and measures to improve port management, the role of the state in these activities..
Keywords: : sea port, state regulation, the sea port infrastructure, operators of marine terminals required resolution in the seaport, the state, law.
EXPERT’S REPORTS FUZZY DEDUCTION ALGORITHMIC PROCEDURE IN THE FORENSIC TRAUMATOLOGY COMPUTER-BASED CONSULTATIVE SYSTEM
The expert’s reports deduction algorithmic procedure in the forensic traumatology computer-based consultative system is proposed, it makes possible to form promptly the adequate conclusions on the base of incomplete and/or inexact investigative data.
Keywords: forensic traumatology computer-based consultative system, knowledge base, production model, expert’s reports fuzzy deduction procedure.